Showing posts with label Political News. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Political News. Show all posts

Monday, September 24, 2018

Senate Republicans' bad faith maneuvering has landed them in a no-win situation Kavanaugh-wise

   By Rebecca Pilar Buckwalter Poza

     None of us thought the GOP was going to attempt to hold an aboveboard nomination hearing for Brett Kavanaugh, much less investigate Dr. Christine Blasey Ford’s allegation of sexual assault. Just how little interest Republicans have in projecting a semblance of decency is still surprising.
Two women have come forward publicly, Dr. Ford, who alleges Kavanaugh assaulted her during high school, and Deborah Ramirez, a college classmate who says he assaulted her at Yale. Ramirez’s account is backed up by classmates’ emails. A third yet-to-be-named woman is being represented by Michael Avenatti, of Stormy Daniels fame. A fourth allegation of sexual assault is being investigated by investigated by Montgomery County.
Republicans were already flailing. Exhibit A: Ed Whelan’s painstakingly ridiculous mistaken-identity theory, wherein he used Google Maps and Zillow floor plans to claim Dr. Ford had confused Kavanaugh with another classmate.
[W]hat’s most shocking about this thread, which Whelan has since deleted, is that Kavanaugh’s defenders appear to have genuinely believed that it would exculpate the nominee. Whelan is no random crank: He is a Federalist Society power broker who has played a major role in the selection of Donald Trump’s judicial nominees—including his good friend Kavanaugh. 
Undeterred by fact, they’ve repeatedly launched attacks on women who share the same name as accusers. It’s not clear whether the misidentification was accidental or deliberate, as one tweet incorrectly linking Ramirez to George Soros was left up even after the right-wing perpetrator had admitted the error.
Republicans are growing ever more desperate, now truly worried about internal cohesion. It’s clear that Republicans should start over. Then again, they shouldn’t have selected Kavanaugh to begin with.
It was already a bad idea to push forward given the near certainty that Kavanaugh’s perjuries will be exposed (to an even greater degree) when his record becomes public, a three-year wait at most. Now, they’re faced with two credible allegations of sexual assault and a third TBD, along with prospective witnesses.
It’s truly become a no-win situation for Republicans. That said, it’s clear what the best of the bad options is.
If the Mitch McConnell-led Republicans who want to “plow ahead” with Kavanaugh succeed, he’ll be the most impeachable justice there ever was. They’ll also pay a hefty price. (Hey, Susan Collins.)
If the GOP cuts bait now, they’ll suffer less for attempting to force Kavanaugh’s confirmation, though that tack’s alienated the public and widened fault lines among Republicans. They’d also get a shot at another, less impeachable nominee.
Why haven’t they dumped Kavanaugh yet?
Ego, for one, and the need to enforce party discipline. Partisanship, for another: Kavanaugh’s the most political pick they could have made. His views on executive power are certainly the most favorable for Trump. Most of all, Republicans do not take sexual assault seriously. Let these factors be their downfall.
   Original From Daily Kos

Sunday, March 25, 2018

Trump's legal troubles are about to get worse, A LOT worse

By Murfster35         Sunday  Mar 25,2018

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What's wrong with this picture?


I'll be the first to admit it, I love hunches. Which is one of the main reasons I don't gamble, even living in Vegas. Plunking down $100 every time you get a wild hair up your ass about a team is not a fiscally sound way to make sure that the rent gets paid every month.

But people who have followed me for a while know that actually, I have a pretty good track record. Obviously, my "greatest hit" was predicting in print, on the Daily Kos, that Trump would go on to win the GOP nomination even before the first primary was held.

And now my prophesy nerve is twitching again, and it itches like hell. We won't know whether or not I'm right for at least another week, but we shall see what we shall se.

Here's my prediction. I think we've seen Melania Trump officially as the First Lady of the United States for the last time, especially in close proximity to her husband. There are a few good reasons for this.

First of all, did you see them come down the stairs of Air Force One in Florida? Forget about them holding hands, Melania has slapped his paw away for months now. But usual, the Citrus Caesar comes down the steps first, with Melania a step or so behind. In normal times they also stood together at the top and waved. Not anymore. This time, Melania was a full two steps ahead of Trump, with Barron in tow, and both of their heads looked straight down. When they got to the bottom of the stairs, they immediately headed for the car, eyes still downcast, while His Lowness clowned around behind them.

Second, this has finally become "real" for Melania. This isn't an audio tape of her husband bragging about "moving on her like a bitch," or bragging about sexual assault, and it isn't 19 women accusing Trump of groping them on airplanes, or ramming his tongue in their mouths by elevators. These are two women, credible as hell, telling tales of their romantic liaisons with Trump, and not just one night stands, months long affairs, with payoffs at the end to ensure their silence. I have no doubt that she watched the Karen Mcdougle interview, and she'll watch the Stormy Daniels interview tonight. She'll want to hear it, so see it, to compare their intimate details with things she personally knows about Trump, to know it's true for herself. And she'll be done.

There is also Barron to consider. Even if the story had broken as it occurred, in 2006 Barron was only months old. Even if In Touch magazine had published the Stormy Daniels interview in 2011, Barron was only 5, and still ignorant of sexual matters, and marital strife. Now, Barron is 12, with friends at school. And all of their parents are going to be glued to the TV tonight, quite possibly with the kids within earshot. For the second time in a week, his father will be exposed to the world as a selfish philanderer, and Barron is going to hear about it in school. I believe Melania is more protective than to willingly allow that to happen.

But most importantly of all, Stormy Daniels has exposed a weakness in Trump that has nothing at all to do with sex. Daniels and her lawyer, Michael Avenatti, have bounced Trump and Michael Cohen around on their knees in the media like the two year old that Trump emotionally still is. Given the opportunity to slam dunk the President, and the resulting fame, I have little doubt that Melania can find the divorce equivalent of Michael Avenatti, and that he can tear that pre-nup to shreds. Hell,if the Daniels NDA is anything to go by, a third year law student could find holes big enough to drive a truck through. And for as long as Melania has been this close to Trump, just think about what she could testify to in a divorce case. Trump can't afford to have her either being deposed or testifying in open court, especially if Mueller is still sniffing around. And although I can't find an actual article, in my own mind I am 100% sure that I heard a panel guest on either CNN or MSNBC commenting at the time of the Access Hollywood video that the Trump-Melania pre-nup had a 10 year sunset clause. If that's true, then Donald Trump is the marital equivalent of Elwood Blues' "dry, white toast" in The Blues Brothers.

So, there it is. If I', wrong, I'm wrong. But this is just one of those times when the feeling that Trump has shit in one more kitchen is just so strong that I can't ignore it. We should pretty well know if Melania and Barron aren't on that big silver bird a week from now.

It’s here! The moment you’ve been dreading looking forward to. My new e-book President Evil. A common man looks at Trump and the 2016 primaries. You can get it now on Amazon. And please feel free to leave a review at either Amazon or goodreads, every review helps, positive or negative.

Cross posted on The Trump Impeachment.

Friday, March 9, 2018

That Mueller/trump Russian Thingy

Mueller is not going to remove the president for lying to him. Its just not politically tenable. Obstruction maybe.
  Trump is only removed if you have real proof that he knew of explicit quid pro quo.                             

   That being said, the quid pro quo is known as this point. Lift the sanctions, and we’ll cut you in on the oil drilling money in Siberia and put up a trump tower in Moscow. trump stood to make many millions from Trump Tower Moscow, and the 19.5% stake of Rosnett would be worth 100s of billions of dollars once oil drilling started. Its about the money. Obstruction and money laundering and tax evasion is what will sink trump. After Mueller’s done, the trump kids won’t have a plugged nickel to split between them, those of them who escape prison, and that’s their worst nightmare — having to work for a living.

Tuesday, March 6, 2018

donald trump

   One thing that I should point out to you is that you will NEVER see the “d” in donald or the “t” in trump capitalized on this blog.

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Friday, January 13, 2017

Trump Making America Great Again? Not So Fast

The most recent issue of Bloomberg Businessweek states that of the past three engineering projects Trump has handled, at least two imported their steel and aluminum from China. One of his projects in Chicago bought a large quantity of energy-saving glass walls from China. From these moves alone, estimating according to American market prices, Trump cost American companies a sum of more than $350 million. (Mugs and t-shirts that the Trump camp used in the campaign were manufactured in China and Honduras.

Thursday, January 12, 2017

Mexico Says No Way Are They Paying For Wall

Sorry chump Trump, not gonna happen.
"It is evident that we have some differences with the new government of the United States, like the topic of the wall, that Mexico of course will not pay," [President Enrique Peña] Nieto said during a speech in front of foreign diplomats at the National Palace on Wednesday, according to reports.
Peña Nieto said as much following his meeting and subsequent press conference with Donald Trump last fall. His foreign minister reiterated it Tuesday. Mexico's former president also said last week he would never pay for Trump's "fucken wall."
Call me crazy, but it seems Mexico will decide what Mexico pays for.
Trump may have his own version of the truth, but here's what is clear: American taxpayers are paying for Trump's wall. You can take that to the bank.

Sunday, January 8, 2017

GOP Doesn't Want You To Know How Much Obamacare Repeal Will Cost. It Could Be Trillions.


Republican leaders racing to tear down as many as 20 million (pdf) individuals' healthcare without providing a replacement, it turns out, also don't want the American people to know how much the repeal will cost.
The very same rules package (pdf) in which the GOP had attempted to gut the Office of Congressional Ethics also contains a provision that exempts repeal of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare, from the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO) 10-year cost analysis.
"In other words," reported Shareblue, the news site owned by Hillary Clinton ally David Brock that drew attention to the measure, "the new Republican rules package specifically instructs the CBO not to say how much it would cost to repeal Obamacare"—a provision that "distorts" federal budget analysis "for political gain."
As Shareblue pointed out, following a section of the bill (on page 25) that instructs the director of the CBO to conduct a 10-year cost analysis of each bill reported by the House, a subsection lists the areas to which the directive will not apply:
(4) LIMITATION.—This subsection shall not apply to any bill or joint resolution, or amendment thereto or conference report thereon—     
(A) repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and title I and subtitle B of title II of the Health Care and Education Affordability Reconciliation Act of 2010;     
(B) reforming the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the Health Care and Education Affordability Reconciliation Act of 2010; or     
(C) for which the chair of the Committee on the Budget has made an adjustment to the allocations, levels, or limits contained in the most recently adopted concurrent resolution on the budget.
Try as they may to conceal the cost of the repeal, an independent study published Thursday estimated that it could cost the states trillions in lost revenue and output.
The study, conducted by the Commonwealth Fund and George Washington University's Milken Institute School of Public Health, argues that the repeal of both federal premium tax credits and Medicaid expansion without a viable alternative would result in a $140 billion cut in federal funding by 2019, which in turn would trigger "losses in employment, economic activity, and state and local revenues."
Most of the federal healthcare funding "flows to hospitals, clinics, pharmacies, and other providers," which in turn hire and pay staff, as well as "purchase goods and services, like clinic space or medical equipment" from vendors who also "pay their employees and buy additional goods and services."
This repeal scenario "would result in nearly 3 million lost jobs by 2021" and widespread state economic losses, the study notes. It continues: "From 2019 to 2023, there will be a cumulative $1.5 trillion loss in gross state products and a $2.6 trillion reduction in business output (combined transactions at the production, wholesale, and retail levels). State and local tax revenues also will fall during this period, dropping by $48 billion."
Next week, the Senate is expected to vote on a budget reconciliation bill that includes repeal of the ACA with no clear plans for an alternative.
Meanwhile, the vast majority of Americans do not want Congress to dismantle the program "until the details of a replacement have been announced," according to new poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation.
The survey, published Friday, found:
Forty-nine percent of the public think the next Congress should vote to repeal the law compared to 47 percent who say they should not vote to repeal it. Of those who want to see Congress vote to repeal the law, a larger share say they want lawmakers to wait to vote to repeal the law until the details of a replacement plan have been announced (28 percent) than say Congress should vote to repeal the law immediately and work out the details of a replacement plan later (20 percent).
 With this sort of public opposition, many are hoping that the same organized outrage that led to the Republicans' backtrack on the ethics rule change can also pressure lawmakers to rethink other unpopular—and outlandish—policies. 
Speaking to Democracy Now! on Wednesday, Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D-Ariz.) said that the "flood of calls, emails, and appeals that hit every office in Congress" in response to the ethics panel subterfuge is exactly the way that people will "be able to affect, to resist, and to stop some of the worst instincts that this Congress is going to have."
"Those of us that are in Congress that are opposed to what's going on are a voice," he continued. "But the real power in holding back some of the worst instincts of Trump and the majority in the House and in the Senate is going to come from people themselves. And I think that bodes well, and that is a good example of how that should be done."
Looking forward to the ACA fight, he said that he thinks Republicans are "going to have to back down," particularly in the face of public resistance.
"I think they're going to have a very difficult time coming up with a replacement that deals with pre-existing conditions, that deals with subsidies for poor people and working people," Grijalva said. "But right now, to say repeal is easy. To provide a replacement, which the American people are going to demand, is going to be difficult, if not impossible."

Sunday, January 1, 2017

Donald Trump remains unfit for office. Are we seriously still not going to talk about that?

Mr. Trump, who does not use email, also advised people to avoid computers when dealing with delicate material. “It’s very important, if you have something really important, write it out and have it delivered by courier, the old-fashioned way, because I’ll tell you what, no computer is safe,” Mr. Trump said.
Osama Bin Laden is dead today because agents intercepted one of his "courier" shipments. While Scrooge McDuck here is probably quite certain his own courier shipments are safe, I hope to high hell that three weeks from now does not begin with an executive order to all the nation's government officials to from now on deliver all sensitive information to each other by bicycle messenger or a fleet of sturdy owls.---Hunter at Daily Kos 
Sunday Jan 01, 2017
   So, are we at some point going to talk seriously as a nation about the not-so-minor problem we are about to be confronted with? That Donald Trump is manifestly unfit for office?
President-elect Donald J. Trump, expressing lingering skepticism about intelligence assessments of Russian interference in the election, said on Saturday evening that he knew “things that other people don’t know” about the hacking, and that the information would be revealed “on Tuesday or Wednesday.”
This would be the president elect declaring, outside his Gatsbyesque New Year’s party last evening, that he knows "things that other people don't know" about the hacking that leads he himself, as opposed to every single one of America's vast intelligence agencies, a collection of analysts and tech experts who for all their faults know hacking very very damn well, as they have for many years recruited from the top ranks of hackers themselves, to believe that each and every one of those agencies is wrong and Donald Freaking Trump, who does not himself know how to work a computer or even use email, has a clearer handle on the situation than any of them.
Oh—but while I go off to take a sip of rhetorical water after that last run-on sentence, let's also contemplate that Donald Trump either (1) has information the intelligence services do not themselves have, and knows that that information will be released to them "Tuesday or Wednesday", or (2) has listened to his security briefers at least enough to know that the intelligence services themselves will be releasing specific information that nobody but Donald Trump knows on Tuesday or Wednesday.
All right. Fine. So the new president has opinions that he believes override an entire nation's worth of collected technical expertise; this will of itself not be new, or a deal-breaker. But let's examine just why Donald Freaking Trump believes he has a far more accurate read of the technological situation than all of those other experts combined. Because he was more than happy to tell us:
He added: “And I know a lot about hacking. And hacking is a very hard thing to prove. So it could be somebody else. And I also know things that other people don’t know, and so they cannot be sure of the situation.”
This is categorically false, and extremely super-duper stupid. Donald Trump does not, in any universe currently accessible to the rest of humanity, know "a lot" about hacking. Donald Trump knows zero about hacking. Donald Trump famously does not use a computer. Donald Trump knows that hacking is a very hard thing to prove—sometimes true—but would be completely unable to name any one of the top dozen ways experts can indeed identify the originators of individual hacking attempts. You may have also noticed over the years that the NSA appears to have their thumb on major elements of both individual networks and the internet backbone itself—the legality of those programs being a hotly debated topic—and, if you keep up on these things, probably are aware of the resources the various agencies can bring to bear to crack even many types of so-called "secure" communications, if the need arises.
Donald Trump does not know any of these things. Donald Trump could not himself successfully log into a gmail account without the help of a staff member. Donald Trump believes he knows "a lot" about hacking, and while actual knowledge in the field is unnecessary for office a sitting president must at the very least have the cognitive faculties to know what he does not know, and Donald Trump does not. Donald Trump has a mental condition that causes him to believe he knows more about any topic you can name than any expert you can produce, if he is deeply invested in what the answer is supposed to be, and Donald Freaking Trump is unfit for governance so long as that mental condition exists.
Mr. Trump, who does not use email, also advised people to avoid computers when dealing with delicate material. “It’s very important, if you have something really important, write it out and have it delivered by courier, the old-fashioned way, because I’ll tell you what, no computer is safe,” Mr. Trump said.
Osama Bin Laden is dead today because agents intercepted one of his "courier" shipments. While Scrooge McDuck here is probably quite certain his own courier shipments are safe, I hope to high hell that three weeks from now does not begin with an executive order to all the nation's government officials to from now on deliver all sensitive information to each other by bicycle messenger or a fleet of sturdy owls.
“I don’t care what they say, no computer is safe,” he added. “I have a boy who’s 10 years old; he can do anything with a computer. You want something to really go without detection, write it out and have it sent by courier.”
And here we get to the heart of it, the part that I probably should have put right up front because there are a lot of apathetic people in America today whose commitment to functional governance can't stomach a trip through a dozen short paragraphs before getting to the point. Here we get to the part that ought to make any even half-patriotic soul blanche, or perhaps dry heave.
Donald Trump, who does not himself use a computer or any technology more advanced than his greasy little phone, is basing his own executive veto over the nation's assembled government experts in matters of "hacking" and "national goddamn security":
On the computer expertise of his ten year old son.
On Barron.
Being able to use a computer.
Which therefore makes Barron's opinions on hacking, the implication clearly goes, the equal of the entire collected expertise of every major government intelligence agency put together, all the hackers and spooks and supercomputers and hidden routers and security analysts and [everything else combined], and on that hill Donald Trump will hoist his flag, hitch up his pants, summon whichever reporters have staked out his Florida club and declare yes, but Barron.
This is where we're at. The soon to be president is more invested in taking national security advice from his elementary school child than in all the arrayed security voices of the nation ...
... combined.
So, we realize that is insane, right? That this is not a case of mere disagreement, but evidence of an actual mental malfunction? That this very rich but very stupid man is, in fact, incapable of critical decision making because he cannot even himself discern what constitutes evidence?
The comments on Saturday were a departure from a statement that Mr. Trump issued through transition officials last week, in which he said that it was time for people to “move on” from the hacking issue but that he would be briefed on the matter by intelligence officials early in the new year.
It's not a departure. It's the pattern we have been seeing since the first days of his campaign. He says a thing. A day or two passes, he says a completely contrary thing. A day or two passes again, he may say either of the first two things or pop up with a third. It is not based on new evidence. It is seemingly not even based on a willingness to lie; a congenital liar of otherwise non-impaired faculties would at the goddamn least be able to lie consistently from one day to the next.
This man can't, and he can't because, the evidence consistently suggests, he lacks the cognitive awareness to even know whether he's being dishonest. He doesn't believe the collected intelligence agencies of the United States haven't tracked down the election hackers merely because he doesn't want that to be true, he has constructed a version of not-reality in which all those experts combined are wrong, wrong, wrong because he has a son, Barron, and Barron has a computer of his own and is therefore an expert of equal expertise and so Barron Freaking Trump.
Will be directly responsible.
For determining.
Our national security policies, at least when it comes to "the cyber", for the entire.
Damn.
Nation.
So here's the question, and it's a question for all of the people out there who have made either governance or the tracking of governance into careers of their own, the elected politicians, the government functionaries, the party hacks, the omnipresent pundits and think-tankers, the political journalists, the non-political journalists, and so forth:
Are we just not going to talk about this? Are we really going to sally forth, on this January 1st, 2017, continuing to simply ignore the rather plain reality that the man who is about to be sitting in the Oval Office is manifestly unfit for the task of governance? As in, he literally, cognitively cannot do it—that it is going to be akin to asking a Magic 8-Ball or a particularly ill-trained chicken to set national policies, and make the decisions of war or peace, and meet with foreign leaders, and give presidential proclamations?
Yes, he won the election. Yes, it's a real stinker that he did, and if any one of twenty different things didn't happen he wouldn't have—but he did. And now he's going to be president, in just three weeks. And there cannot possibly be, in either party or in any realm of journalism not currently occupied by foot-chewers themselves, any question that this man is not prepared or even cognitively capable of doing that job.
So what happens now? We're just going with that, right?
We're not going to bring it up? Too rude? Too unsettling? Too “partisan?” Too not-normal?
Is this going to be like the Iraq War, where a few years from now everybody is dabbing their brows with handkerchiefs and talking about how golly, if only anyone among us could have foreseen the gigantic clusterfuck awaiting us even though in the rude circles of the internet and in massive protests on the street, everybody who was not personally invited to the White House Correspondents Dinner goddamn foresaw it right from the beginning?
All right, fine. If that's how it's going to be, that's how it's going to be. But let's punch our own ticket right now, get on the train, and at least fetch ourselves a comfortable seat before the inevitable rush: This man is unambiguously unfit for office. He is incapable of performing those duties. It is, among anyone with the slightest bit of faith in their fellow man or anyone with the slightest bit of awareness as to which of those fellow man are not entirely worth that faith, obvious.
Until striding behind a podium eighteen months ago there is no way Donald Trump, narcissistic blowhard, insatiable liar, likely sociopath and man distrusted even by his own company lawyers would have been judged competent enough for the lowest of government security clearances—now he'll be getting the nuclear football itself. A merely incompetent outcome, as opposed to a corrupt or a manifestly deranged or catastrophically dangerous one, is the best case we can possibly hope for.
And we're all apparently deeply devoted to not talking about it because it would be … uncouth?